If there's a tension between creativity and avoiding error, who does that affect? (Replying to @juliagalef )pic.twitter.com/UMcAslxUZK
Is overconfidence necessary for some scientific discoveries? (Replying to @juliagalef's remarks, quoted)pic.twitter.com/e8qaPVeDHI
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1) Ha, I *almost* included a 9th tweet in my thread saying "So both of us have to just rely on our best guesses from anecdata + priors"
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2) so that it wouldn't sound like I thought the burden of proof was on you. But then I was like, nah, I'm sure it's clear :)
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I suspect the most important x to be overx is interested.
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Overconfidence from whose perspective: Protagonist or audience? The fuelling awareness of ability varies widely with perspective.
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Doyle Brunson said he won most of his big pots by getting lucky.
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overconfidence might be the wrong term here. It is more the daring to challenge assumptions & be different.
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breakthroughs happen when people work in rough directions of maximum interestingness ignoring precedents.
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