(But if you’re a bit irrational to get to the truth in the long run, it wasn’t irrational, right? Just temporarily loosening standards.)
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3/ But I'd frame our disagreement a little differently than Julia.
4/ In general, I believe our scientific institutions don't support diverse enough in-depth exploration.
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5/ Instead, a few broad schools tend to form. A good example is AI research. Neural nets were very unfashionable for a long time.
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6/ But still pursued by Geoff Hinton, now seen as a visionary.
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6½/ Hinton seems to have largely suspended skepticism (per Julia's 3), in order to deeply explore an idea.
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7/ I think we'd be better off with more Hintons.
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8/ Actually, that's not quite right. It's easy after the fact to say "let's have more Geoff Hintons" - he's seen as right!
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9/ What's harder is to say "let's support many people pursuing ideas that don't look as promising as w'ever currently appears most promising
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10/ Of course, there's usually a good reason the fashionable idea is fashionable. It usually _is_ right.
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11/ But there's no reason to think our grant allocation mechanisms allocate money in the right way.
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