Is there a name for the cognitive bias that makes us think any probability that is not exactly 0.5 should be treated as either 0.0 or 1.0?
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Replying to @seanmcarroll
I've talked this over with people several times in the past 11 days, & looked around online. Nothing obvious came up.
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Replying to @michael_nielsen
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@michael_nielsen@seanmcarroll I call it the coin-flip bias. There is more to randomness and probability distributions than coin-flips (1)2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes -
Replying to @NeuroStats
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@michael_nielsen@seanmcarroll And more to statistics than just probability https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4360088/ … (see "inverse probability") (2)1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
Replying to @NeuroStats @seanmcarroll
This is terrific (not surprising: Hand & Fisher are great!) Reminded of Pearl's lecture: http://singapore.cs.ucla.edu/LECTURE/lecture_sec1.htm …
3:01 PM - 21 Nov 2016
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