That last tweet encapsulates almost every arg I've heard about AI risk. I like option 3: we don't know much, maybe AI a risk, maybe not 2/
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@michael_nielsen IMHO AI-risk args typically overest. curr. machine intelligence & underest. human intelligence & thus how far AI has to go
@MelMitchell1 That seems like an e.g. of arg style 1. I don't disagree with your premise, but it has little bearing on whether AI is a risk
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@michael_nielsen No doubt AI is a risk. But question for me is, how much of a risk, & how soon? My opinion is that risk is overestimated. -
@MelMitchell1 Overestimated by who? Lots of people, included some people quoted as experts, say "no risk", so presumably not everyone.
End of conversation
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