Today's pet peeve: "We will/won't achieve <AI milestone X> by <year Y>" without any reason whatsoever for the *specific number Y*. If you see this happening, you can help by just asking "How did you get that number?"
Show this thread
-
If I ask you this, and you say "well X seems far away, and Y is a big number", you'll honestly earn points in my book for at least stating that clearly.
Show this thread
False precision isn't progress. Sometimes arguments are better without numbers.
-
-
Say more?
-
I don't think I disagree, but perhaps I'm putting too strong an emphasis on the numbers here. I really mean it when I say that "well X seems far away, and Y is a big number" is a win/improvement, in my book. It's a step away from the numbers, and that's fine by me.
- 7 more replies
New conversation -
-
-
I forget the exact source, but I like the observation "Better a vague answer to a good question than a precise answer to a bad question." But many people prefer to operate in world B, perhaps because it gives them a (false) sense of certainty.
-
Looks like this may have been from John Tukey: https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/John_Tukey
- 1 more reply
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.