The rise of "No Religion" in the US. This is the graph that has most surprised me this year. Via @wesyangpic.twitter.com/s5UukYy6Ba
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I think a similar preference cascade is coming for universities.
Why? (Not an argumentative why, just a curious why. This is a claim often made, but usually badly argued - I'd love to see a good argument for it.)
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It's unclear to me that this is happening in non-tech industries. Now I think tech is increasingly rising in scale and importance so that may be enough. But I see no signs of law, finance, etcetc moving this direction
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More generally, I wonder if this is historically seen in other very high growth industries, where the demand for labor greatly exceeds supply.
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I don’t have a fundamentally different thesis for this than you’ve heard articulated before, but would be happy to write up why somewhere less prone to handwaviness than Twitter.
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If you'd like to, I'd be extremely interested to read it!
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Perhaps boomers versus millennials? Timing seems to line up.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Unlikely would be as drastic for universities. However enrollment will decline bc the birth rate has contracted and there are less high school students. Also contracted during recession.
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A 5% decline will be devastating - esp for smaller schools depending on tuition for revenue and without endowments. Winners will be low cost state schools in large metros
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