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michael_nielsen's profile
michael_nielsen
michael_nielsen
michael_nielsen
@michael_nielsen

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michael_nielsen

@michael_nielsen

Searching for the numinous. Co-purveyor of https://quantum.country/ 

San Francisco, CA
michaelnielsen.org
Joined July 2008

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    1. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg Feb 12
      • Report Tweet

      Paul Graham Retweeted Jon Erlichman

      Could someone please make a scatterplot of this data, with a curve fitted to it? I suspect there is a very important shape here that no one has seen before.https://twitter.com/JonErlichman/status/1095395031006040071 …

      Paul Graham added,

      Jon ErlichmanVerified account @JonErlichman
      Replying to @paulg
      here you go: https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/how-facebook-became-one-of-the-fastest-growing-companies-in-u-s-history-1.1213047 … pic.twitter.com/GWB21nsxEI
      26 replies 35 retweets 204 likes
      Show this thread
    2. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @paulg

      Twitter: an API for getting graphs made. You have coarse control over the graphs, but they arrive in quantity.

      1 reply 2 retweets 31 likes
    3. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @michael_nielsen @paulg

      The graphs are v. interesting. It's not quite clear what inflation-adjusted means, but I presume it means 50 billion at the cross-the-threshold date, in 2019 (or similar) dollars.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @michael_nielsen @paulg

      There are some notable omissions, esp. Standard Oil (which grew amazingly), only companies from the breakup.

      3 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @michael_nielsen

      Yeah, I was thinking that too. Perhaps the Esso cos (as it were) should be considered as one.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @paulg

      SO had earnings of 50 mill in 1900, about 1.5 bill today. Don't know revenue, but wouldn't be surprised if above 50 bill. Founded in 1870, I believe.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @michael_nielsen @paulg

      One of the strangest things about the graph is the lack of outliers above the line. It says that at any given time there's a window to get big. And that window is decreasing.

      3 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
    8. Ishaan Gulrajani‏ @__ishaan Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @michael_nielsen @paulg

      I think that’s because it’s impossible - an outlier above the line would correspond to a company which crosses the threshold in 2020, which is in the future

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Feb 12
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @__ishaan @paulg

      Good point. I didn't look closely enough at the past examples. A different way of framing the graph is: most companies with 50 billion revenue got there in the last 20 (or so) years.

      3:03 PM - 12 Feb 2019
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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