I love this chart showing ~30% year on year growth of solar deployment. What, in your opinion, would most help to increase that rate? Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Growth_of_photovoltaics …pic.twitter.com/aPFtVLlFHO
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TBC: I'm enthusiastic about solar. But the magnitude of the task is orders of magnitude beyond where we're at. Looks like we need battery production at least 100x (actually more) than the Gigafactory to make solar competitive with standard base load.
So this article claims Gigafactory is at 20 GWh annualized production. Typical worldwide electricity demand is, IIRC, tens of TW. So it means the entire Gigafactory output is good for a few seconds of grid-scale electricity.https://electrek.co/2018/08/02/tesla-gigafactory-1-battery-production-20-gwh/ …
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The exciting thing about giga is that the cost of production is about 50% better than the next best option (IIRC), which is a jump of maybe 6 years of "business as usual". That's what I meant by one more gigafactory and the processes will be in place for cheap batteries.
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Thanks for clarifying, I missed that point. Also made me realize I need to understand the right way(s) to calculate the amortized cost of solar + battery + disposal, to compare to standard base load.
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BTW, what do you mean "solar is easier to price than wind"? Very interesting!
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https://www.solarpowerworldonline.com/2017/08/solar-projects-beat-forecasts-wind-falls-short/ … found that while wind plants often underperform design goals, solar PV plants typically outperform design specs by a narrower margin, which makes them less risky to invest in.
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