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michael_nielsen's profile
michael_nielsen
michael_nielsen
michael_nielsen
@michael_nielsen

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michael_nielsen

@michael_nielsen

Searching for the numinous. Co-purveyor of https://quantum.country/ 

San Francisco, CA
michaelnielsen.org
Joined July 2008

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    1. Casey Handmer, PhD‏ @CJHandmer Jan 20
      • Report Tweet

      I love this chart showing ~30% year on year growth of solar deployment. What, in your opinion, would most help to increase that rate? Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Growth_of_photovoltaics …pic.twitter.com/aPFtVLlFHO

      5 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
      michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Jan 20
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      Replying to @CJHandmer

      Lots of bad policies would (over-subsidizing it, for instance). But among helpful actions, I'd love to see vastly better batteries.

      10:25 PM - 20 Jan 2019
      • 8 Likes
      • Adam Jermyn arram Gordon Brander Nishant Suri Casey Handmer, PhD Parvesh Monu Michel Teivel Liz Voeller
      2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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        2. Casey Handmer, PhD‏ @CJHandmer Jan 20
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          Replying to @michael_nielsen

          I think we're probably one more gigafactory from being crushed by cheap batteries. The learning curve is about 5 years behind PV. But how to get them plugged in where they're needed, other than allowing electricity price to fluctuate rapidly at the meter?

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Adam Jermyn‏ @Muffins3141 Jan 21
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          Replying to @CJHandmer @michael_nielsen

          It’s hard to beat rapid exponential growth. You could try invent cheaper PV tech, or allow institutional investors to hold money for longer periods (repeal the ban on perpetuities, basically) so that the future discount rate falls. That’ll free up more short term capital.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. michael_nielsen‏ @michael_nielsen Jan 20
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          Replying to @michael_nielsen @CJHandmer

          Great chart, BTW, sent me down the Wikipedia rabbithole! I wonder how the actual output scales along the chart?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Casey Handmer, PhD‏ @CJHandmer Jan 20
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          Replying to @michael_nielsen

          It would have to match it pretty closely, because it's a logarithmic scale. Early plants get exponentially washed out, so don't matter. And more recent ones have to be used or there would be no follow-on investment. Recent data suggests solar is easier to price than wind.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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