Breakthrough progress in science is slowing, write @patrickc and @michael_nielsen in a good article. I do think they undersell they undersell the biggest explanation: The Laws of Physics Underlying Everyday Life Are Completely Understood™.https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/11/diminishing-returns-science/575665/ …
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Another take may be that diminishing returns applies within paradigms. We are still exhausting those from the early 20th century and it’s only after that do we unearth a new pdgm. So while there is low pdvty now, the benefits will be disproportionate when we discover a new one.
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I'm optimistic this will help, and we discuss related ideas at some length. Here's the main summary paragraph (of several):pic.twitter.com/5X9wDYRPVI
12:08 PM - 16 Nov 2018
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