New essay from @patrickc and myself, arguing that science has suffered from greatly diminishing returns over the past century:https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/11/diminishing-returns-science/575665/ …
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There’s surely much scope for scientific progress in some domains especially social, cognitive science? Doesn’t your conclusion depend on where you put the discovery boundary?
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Great report. The diminishing pace of return.. isn't this something to be expected? One, the low hanging fruit argument. Two, the idea that new conceptual unifications/generalizations are *supposed to be* progressively more difficult. 1/2
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Three (related to two), the idea that there's more mass in the branches of the tree of knowledge than can ever be assembled in the foundational trunk (maybe it's more like a shrub). 2/2
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