A slider feels like a more intuitive way to express a nuanced opinion than percentages. Race them. I'll bet sliders win.https://twitter.com/PTetlock/status/1048191304918814722 …
There's a beautiful game by @CassandraXia where you play the game by expressing your distribution of beliefs: http://cassandraxia.com/projs/advbiases/ …pic.twitter.com/69hHtd0rlW
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I put down zero which, no offense to that tradition, is probably the correct answer but was marked wrong.
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That's what I did also, even though I knew the answer they were seeking. The question could've been worded as "How many reincarnations does tradition hold have there been of the Dalai Lama?" or something like that to avoid this.
End of conversation
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I'm always surprised by how difficult a time I have applying Bayes' rule...
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Agree. Gallon?
End of conversation
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