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The Nobel Prize is an interesting event. The recipients go from being venerated by a few hundred or thousand of their peers to being celebrities. For the rest of their life they're often introduced as a "Nobel Prizewinner", their opinion is sought by media & the famous, etc.
Interesting in part because there's many almost-Nobelists - people who reasonably could have been given a Prize, but didn't get it because of politics, bad luck, the rule that only 3 people can be given the Prize, etc.
Those people have very different lives as a result. Not necessarily worse (or better), but radically different.
One reason I always bristle when I see some study or another on Nobelists as a measure of great scientific accomplishment. How can one read all the errors and omissions (eg https://www.nature.com/news/close-but-no-nobel-the-scientists-who-never-won-1.20781 … ) and take it as the ne plus ultra? So many better measures. Like citation counts.
Evidence that citation counts are a better measure? (That's a very unexpected assertion from my point of view.)
Perfect opportunity for a regression discontinuity design!
Yup. @secretGeek's tweet!
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