People often claim that if someone _really_ believes something, they should be willing to bet on it at commensurate odds. I agree with this when money is clearly a primary motivator for that person. But if it's not, lack of willingness to bet means little about their sincerity
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Replying to @michael_nielsen
Snarky response: https://youtu.be/dgct3Jn8pFA Non-snarky response that agrees with your conclusion: http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.com/2013/05/bets-do-not-necessarily-reveal-beliefs.html …
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Replying to @iansimon
Nice, though none applies to the context I'm talking about - all of those are from the perspective of a person who cares a lot about maximizing money, which is specifically not the context of my remark. (I like the Tyler Cowen quote.)
9:06 PM - 25 Jul 2018
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