Michelangelo Freyrie

@MFreyrie

Defense & Security | Bylines , , | alumnus & | Foresight, 🇩🇪-🇷🇺 and sarcasm

Europe
linktr.ee/mfreyrie
Joined November 2013
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    2 Sep 2021

    It looks like my Master thesis on Franco-German leadership and sanctions against won the first Wolfgang Ischinger Award by . Thank goodness I paid the extra two bucks for color printing.

    8 replies 5 retweets 120 likes
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  2. 16 hours ago

    Never in my life would I’ve expected German labor and policymakers seriously considering the adoption of Italian economic practices from the 80s - inflation-indexed wages (the “escalator”) and state-sponsored labor-employer cooperation.

    3 likes
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  3. Jun 19

    That’s a very controversial, far-reaching political decision to be taken by *civilian* authorities. But we need to be honest, business as usual won’t r enough to save the day. If we’re legitimately unwilling to mobilize our economies, than we better start getting creative.

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  4. Jun 19

    Most NATO countries already struggle with their own equipment and these donations are impressive in absolute number. But they’re a drop in the ocean; really it’s going to be extremely difficult to prop up the 🇺🇦 army without significant reviews to our defense economic postures.

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  5. Jun 19

    The 208 known 155mm howitzers would require 31k daily rounds to operate in medium-high intensity fights, according to US Army standards. This means that the (publicly announced) 276k rounds shipped by the West would last less than 9 days of combat.

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  6. Jun 19

    FYI desktop calculations seldom correspond to the actual use on the ground. So why go through the whole hassle of making a wrong calculation? Well, it gives a sense of scale to this war and how current western supplies are inadequate to let Ukrainian forces operate freely.

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  7. Jun 19

    So, there’s no way to calculate how many rounds Ukraine needs for its big guns. I used the (incomplete) number of publicly acknowledged shipments of 155mm howitzers and usage estimates from a US Army manual disregarding that post-Soviet countries make larger use of artillery.

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  8. Jun 19

    In a piece for I make an empirically nonsensical estimate of how many 155mm artillery rounds would need to fend off the invasion. It’s a dumb calculation, BUT it shows something about our very limited ability to prop up the 🇺🇦 military

    1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
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  9. Jun 17

    It's also pretty telling that Oreshkin felt the need to say these things out loud. of course exists to comfort the Russian business community, but we can only guess what kind of tensions linger behind the scene on the future of econ. governance in isolationist Russia.

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  10. Jun 17

    's econ adviser warned against a return of the Soviet model and insisted that import substitution can spur economic modernization. Nothing new; it's pretty incredible how Russia's development model has not changed over the last 8 years.

    1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes
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  11. Jun 15

    Who needs reasons when you’ve got the European Peace Facility?

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  12. Jun 14

    Oh the irony. “The Europe of defense is being built here”, Macron said while visiting French and Belgian troops deployed on a *NATO* mission in Romania. Looks like we’ve come full circle on the whole “EU defense is a ploy to drop ” debate. Let’s not do that ever again.

    Emmanuel Macron aux soldats français en Roumanie : « L’Europe de la défense se construit ici »
    1 reply 1 like
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  13. Jun 14

    Berlin is more willing to take such an avoidable PR hit over strengthening its institutional machine and actually planning where it wants the EU and NATO to be instead of waiting to be pressured into making promises it cannot to keep. For that to change heads will need to roll.

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  14. Jun 14

    A complete change of policy is not easy under any circumstance, but the weak strategic process and a lack of inter-ministerial coordination is what provokes these insane outcomes. How can you walk anywhere if your left foot is paralyzed and your right one has its own priorities?

    1 reply 1 like
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  15. Jun 14

    I think it should be clear by now that most of Germany’s erratic behavior wrt its credibility and relationship to the European allies stems more from a lack of internal institutional cohesion than anything else.

    1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
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  16. Jun 14

    Grazie a e a per l’ospitalità e lo scambio di idee. Si può parlare di politica estera e ordine globale senza fare a gara a chi la spara più grossa, e l’Italia ha una riserva di giovani espert* che fa ben sperare per il futuro.

    25 ricercatrici e ricercatori 🇮🇹 si confrontano sui futuri scenari del sistema internazionale a . Ultimo incontro del Rome Foreign Policy Club lanciato da e sostenuto dalla Farnesina. La maggioranza di loro sono under-35, la metà donne. Una bella novità.
    2 replies 15 likes
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  17. Jun 12

    ’s strategy over the last decade has been guided by opportunism and political entrepreneurship by people jousting for Putin’s favor. The Kremlin’s goals are flexible: eroding its means will alter the internal political balance and make peace more likely.

    non ha idea di come far finire la guerra in Ucraina L’unica variabile esterna che influenzerà le decisioni del Cremlino, abituato a tenersi aperto più possibilità, sarà l’erosione delle sue capacità militari | di
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  18. Jun 11

    . never disappoints

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  19. Jun 7

    Deutschlands europäische Verbündete blicken auf die mit einer Mischung aus Skepsis und Sorge: ohne eine vorsichtige Strategie könnte das die EU-Verteidigungsintegration untergraben. Hier meine Analyse für

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  20. Jun 7

    Oggi allo si parla di e delle sfide e opportunità per l’Italia poste dall’attuale situazione europea

    4 retweets 16 likes
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  21. Retweeted
    Jun 6

    Good morning to you, Mr Bund.

    2 replies 9 retweets 65 likes
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