Key actor in this saga: People saw 70-90% Clinton win probability; didn't understand that 1-2% polling error would move that by 30-40%.
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Replying to @zeynep
That's how everyone made pre-election decisions. That's the lens to understand then. Failure of infosec and data modeling shaped it all.
3 replies 16 retweets 63 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted
There is a whole field on risk communication and information visualization that works on how to do this responsibly. https://twitter.com/briankgolden/status/807450442598912000 …
zeynep tufekci added,
This Tweet is unavailable.4 replies 9 retweets 57 likes
Replying to @zeynep
Especially as democracy primes people to think > 50% means a win. Pollsters need better design/messaging to represent uncertainty.
9:50 PM - 9 Dec 2016
from Brooklyn, NY
0 replies
1 retweet
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