Obviously, you can have HHHT without getting HHHH. But if you get HHHH, then you still have the HHH prefix, and now you have another flip to get T (and if that's H, yet another chance). The only way you get HHHH without HHHT is if after 3 Hs, it's Hs all the way to the end.
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except i believe it should read "the basic intuition is that when *RRR* comes first, RRRB..."
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No, I mean when RRRR comes first. The target is RRRR or RRRB.
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(this should not affect your betting behavior at the wheel, but that wasn't the question)
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I’m having flashbacks to when I was going through the animal literature on the monty hall problem (pigeons, goldfish, etc.) and it was an unbelievable mess
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Literally, no. When I say see it "first" in the post above, I mean first in the sequence as he watches it. Once he sees RRR, the next spin is going to complete the RRRR or RRRB sequence (if not green). Both are equally likely.
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I corrected myself :) Formally, EX < EY, but P(X < Y) = 0.5 Dependence is unintuitive
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