This was exactly my reaction. Suicide my ass. https://twitter.com/AlanMCole/status/1160177514716774401 …
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Prior probability on prison suicide is higher than I expected but still appears to be around 0.1%.
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Replying to @ESYudkowsky
I hope that's not your prior. It should be much higher once you take into account the particulars of the prisoner and their situation. (Not arguing against your conclusion)
10:23 AM - 10 Aug 2019
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