A Ben Carson paradox: Retail politics rule Iowa, and he's only been there 2 days in 2 mos. But he leads the polls.http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/carsons-iowa-campaign-makes-inroads-despite-absence-n456781 …
@matthewjdowd @alexis_levinson is it a myth? Hasn't it been historically true?
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@mattklewis@alexis_levinson no it hasn't actually. there is no correlation between results and time spent in iowa. -
@matthewjdowd@alexis_levinson fair point, though i'd argue there's a diff btw a candidate spending time vs a campaign turnout operation
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@mattklewis@matthewjdowd@alexis_levinson Simpler explanation: Voters tuned out until the last 2 weeks -
@PatrickRuffini@mattklewis@matthewjdowd but are the voters who don't tune in until 2 wks out likely to caucus? -
@alexis_levinson@mattklewis@matthewjdowd Look at the movement in the last week before the 2012 caucus.
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