To be clear, I do think Obamacare will be a problem for Dems next year. But just don't see data showing it caused late swing in VA.
@seanhackbarth @philipaklein Plus, what else explains how the race tightened? ObamaCare dominated the news, and Cooch finished strong...
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@mattklewis@seanhackbarth Exits showed people opposed Obamacare 53-46, but that doesn't nec. mean it caused late swing -
@philipaklein@seanhackbarth We can't prove it. But we do know ObamaCare dominated the news cycle begging about 2 weeks ago. Circumstantial. -
@mattklewis@philipaklein Late swing was caused by undecideds suddenly realizing, “Wait, Terry McAuliffe’s a rodent, isn’t he?” -
@allahpundit@mattklewis Now that's a plausible explanation.
End of conversation
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@mattklewis@philipaklein Did he finish strong or were people consistently reluctant to tell pollsters they were supporting him? -
@McCormackJohn@mattklewis I have no counter theory to offer. Just think the "Obamacare tightened race" lacks evidence.
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@mattklewis@seanhackbarth@philipaklein changed cause Cuccinelli went on offense, painted McAuliffe as the extremist. obama in VA helpedThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@mattklewis@philipaklein I first want to see if race actually tightented. McAuliffe campaign says it was tight all along.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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