"If Silver’s model is hugely wrong...it’s because the polls are wrong." (Pretty sure that's the conservative argument.) http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/10/30/the-nate-silver-backlash/ …
@jbgaffney Polls and predictions can have real consequences, sometimes becoming self-fulfilling prophesies.
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@mattklewis That model would be based on same polls but maybe weight then differently? Is that what your solution would be? 2/2 -
@jbgaffney you should read my post on this. -
@mattklewis Thanks, just did. You had a "sense" then that the race was 50-50 at that point. But there have been scores of polls since. 1/2 -
@jbgaffney Arguing/debating on Twitter isn't my thing. I'll just say Gallup has Romney winning early votes. That might imply something. -
@mattklewis Agreed -- it might. We'll find out Tuesday. Thanks.
End of conversation
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@mattklewis I agree with that. I think Klein's point--that the market should theoretically welcome a conservative Silver--is a good one. 1/2Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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