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I've never run up against the yearly maximum out-of-pocket for insurance before. I suppose I should be glad it happened in January instead of a month before. (And wow, I certainly recognize my privilege to have such insurance!)
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Except they're not even bothering to calculate the p-value.https://twitter.com/kjhealy/status/1224149271215329282 …
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Matt Brauer proslijedio/la je Tweet
I love Super Bowl statistics. (“No team that has failed to convert at least 35% of their 3rd downs has gone on to win” etc.) They are the best introduction to p-hacking that can be found outside major journals.
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Man, I wish I had the guts (and disposable cash) to short sell some particular stocks. I'm worried about timing the thing, and I think that's a rational worry.https://twitter.com/statnews/status/1224135570886201344 …
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Matt Brauer proslijedio/la je Tweet
Hi, you can read it here: Thread by
@trvrb: Based on the content of my mentions, I feel like I need to further debunk crazy#nCoV2019 / HIV… https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1223666856923291648.html …. Have a good day.
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Matt Brauer proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Matt Brauer proslijedio/la je Tweet
Small envelope is 100% conserved out to ZC45 and ZXCC21 and 94% conserved all the way out to SARS. This completely looks like natural evolution.pic.twitter.com/IcsJdwLgCz
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A critical step. It will need to be escalated into something more severe as the kooks, cranks and bots of the world realize that there is an open access channel that can cloak their rants with the appearance of scientific credibility.https://twitter.com/JohnRInglis/status/1223598414493077505 …
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As ususal, Derek Lowe brings the sanity.https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1223651129009020929 …
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No doubt Rosa Luxemburg thought she was ushering in a workers' paradise when she led the labor actions that accelerated the fall of the Weimar Republic. Did not work out as planned: the left focused their hate on each other while the right consolidated power.
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It's the strategic foolishness that bugs me: she's trying to destroy the coalition to defeat T before it even has a chance of forming.https://twitter.com/mayatcontreras/status/1223485632288317440 …
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I had a professor who loved "Dr. Strangelove" and was eager to share it with his son. By the time the kid was old enough, the cold war was over. The kid was "meh." I'm expecting the same from my kids about Don DeLillo novels, but in the other direction: "Yeah, reality, so what?"
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OK, that's my last political tweet. I've experimented with the form and found it unsatisfying. Back to scientific content.
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Sincere questions for Bernie supporters: 3. Will you personally support whoever the D nominee is, even if it is someone who the campaign has characterized as the tool of a corrupt political establishment? Seriously--would like to know the answers to these questions. (2/2)
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Sincere questions for Bernie supporters: 1. Has he been so well vetted that the GOP machine will not be effective when they open up on him (if he wins the nomination)? 2. What would make him a more effective president than senator? (1/2)
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Last week I had a health scare that led to the ER & ICU for a few days. I didn't think MI or PE (though similar symptoms). What really worried me was the staff's concern that it was a flu. The ICU was as much for droplet control as anything else, IMO. (Single room though!)
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2019-nCoV is potentially a major crisis, and authorities need to be more courageous (and effective). But assuming constant R0, unchanging rate of susceptibility, no recovery, pan-mixia, etc. to claim extinction by late March is just ignorant. Be concerned, not hysterical.
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Is there any significance to the fact that these tiny sequences align to variable regions in gp120 from multiple strains? And is the estimate of the likelihood of this happening rigorous enough to justify the judgement "uncanny"? (Answer: no.) 2/2
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One hazard of having a parallel repository of open but completely unvetted scientific literature: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1 … The interpretation is already surfacing that 2019-nCoV must have been engineered to be more like HIV. 1/2
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Matt Brauer proslijedio/la je Tweet
Hard to accurately estimate Ro at this stage give lack of predictable screening. The diagnosis rate influenced by policy decisions regarding how and when PCR diagnostics were rolled out in China, so the modeling is skewed by the data. Increasingly, this appears highly contagious.https://twitter.com/mrc_outbreak/status/1221032729971773440 …
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