Interesting stat: they found ~6% of stockpiled vulnerabilities were independently rediscovered within a year. Q is what that tells us.
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Note that 6% seems small, but it’s basically a lower bound - no way to know about vuls found and kept secret by others.
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But it at least gives us some quantification of the risk of not reporting. Policy Q is how long not reporting is acceptable risk.
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My sense is that this space is highly non-uniform, so over-interpreting the 6%/yr number is probably unwise. Need to find more factors.
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But this is a very important hook for more research on both the technical and policy sides.
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Not-very-bold prediction: the RAND study will be widely cited to make categorical statements that support opposite conclusions.
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Is 6% a high risk or a low risk? Compare: "you have a 6% chance of getting a parking ticket” vs “6% chance of accidental nuclear explosion”.
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New conversation -
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oh hey just what we were talking about
@quinnnorton
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