Interestingly, % black today has no additional predictive power above these two variables.pic.twitter.com/YJmIOIjnh4
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Interestingly, % black today has no additional predictive power above these two variables.pic.twitter.com/YJmIOIjnh4
@matt_blackwell in a bivariate of black today & black 1940, what is R2?
@matt_blackwell @BrendanNyhan not bad for two linear additive predictors; would be curious about s(x1,x2)
@SimonJackman @BrendanNyhan yeah, surprisingly good, I thought; no luck with interactions with only n=40 but definitely interesting
@DenisonBe totally. We do some of this in our slavery paper/book. Traces back to at least the Redemption era
@esoltas nice. it seems as though Trump has different coalitions in different parts of the country.
@matt_blackwell @esoltas take out Horry County and it's stronger (for current %B / don't know what it was in '40)pic.twitter.com/RjIJpeYXvA
@RyanDEnos @sgadarian a fairly precise 0 in this casehttps://twitter.com/matt_blackwell/status/704016645736505345 …
@RyanDEnos @matt_blackwell Side note, props for raw output on Twitter. Nice to see the actual size of coefficients.
@RyanDEnos @matt_blackwell What's effect on other candidates?
@sgadarian @RyanDEnos haven't looked for other R candidates. my ocular regression had rubio doing better in cities, but should check.
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