By the way, if you're wondering what all this talk of a potential "overshoot" of COVID-19 cases in Tokyo is about, congratulations. You're witnessing the birth of a word of "wasei eigo", or "English made in Japan".
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That's not what "overshooting" means. "Overshooting" R0=1 would mean you're aiming to exactly make R0=1 and then wound up higher or lower (in the opposite direction of approach).
The goal here is to reduce infections as much as possible, and R0 as much as possible. You can't "overshoot" that. The goal is zero, and you can't go below zero.
