How big of a lead does Adams (or whoever) need to survive the instant-runoff process? @fairvote has tracked 15 come-from-behind RCV winners since 2004, and most were within a few points of the 1st-round leader.pic.twitter.com/hCdDDY67Fo
some of the worst takes you’ll find on this website. likes = dislikes. retweets = condemnations
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How big of a lead does Adams (or whoever) need to survive the instant-runoff process? @fairvote has tracked 15 come-from-behind RCV winners since 2004, and most were within a few points of the 1st-round leader.pic.twitter.com/hCdDDY67Fo
In the 2019 SF district attorney race, the difference was 15.22%. Make sure to thoughtfully choose your #2 and subsequent votes! https://www.sfelections.org/results/20191105/data/20191125/da/20191125_da_detail.pdf …
The 2019 SF District Attorney race was _not_ a come-from-behind victory. The first round leader went on to win in the final round.
That’s correct. But it’s still interesting in that he wouldn’t have won a 1-1 race against any of the other three contestants
This is obviously false, as he did win a 1-1 against Loftus I just don't want people to read this and think you have any numbers, your analysis is you think more Dautch/Tung voters should have ranked Loftus over Boudin, but that's not what they did
He never ran 1-1 against Loftus. There were a few interesting things in about race. For one, a lot of Chinatown voters who picked Tung as #1 picked Chesa as #2. This was because of a local Chinese daily’s endorsement of Chesa. These voters are mostly ESL/not fluent in English. 1/
Given that Asian Americans don’t tend to be pro-decarceration, that’s an indication these voters were confused by the complexity of RCV and candidate choices 2/
But ultimately, @chesaboudin split the moderate vote. Tung, Loftus, and Deutch were all moderate candidates and Chesa was the radical outlier. The fact that he won shows that RCV did not enable a maximally democratic outcome, despite its raison d’etre 3/3
Your claim that a large fraction of Asian Americans were somehow uniquely "confused" by RCV is baseless and offensive. Regardless of what you think of him, the truth is that Boudin made dedicated outreach to the AAPI community to win those votes fair and square.
I didn’t say he didn’t win fair and square. He did. And this isn’t the only example where RCV produced counter-intuitive results. Nothing wrong with analyzing that. 1/
Btw, in CA there’s something I’d call voter fatigue. People vote on dozens of props in addition to candidates. RCV increases cognitive load on each voter by req’ing them to spend a lot more time researching candidates. This voter fatigue effect results in less informed voters 2/2
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