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maksim_ioffe's profile
Maksim Ioffe
Maksim Ioffe
Maksim Ioffe
@maksim_ioffe

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Maksim Ioffe

@maksim_ioffe

some of the worst takes you’ll find on this website. likes = dislikes. retweets = condemnations

Berkeley, CA
Joined May 2009

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    1. Nathaniel Rakich‏ @baseballot Jun 22

      How big of a lead does Adams (or whoever) need to survive the instant-runoff process? @fairvote has tracked 15 come-from-behind RCV winners since 2004, and most were within a few points of the 1st-round leader.pic.twitter.com/hCdDDY67Fo

      8 replies 29 retweets 108 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Maksim Ioffe‏ @maksim_ioffe Jun 22
      Replying to @baseballot @ceonyc @fairvote

      In the 2019 SF district attorney race, the difference was 15.22%. Make sure to thoughtfully choose your #2 and subsequent votes! https://www.sfelections.org/results/20191105/data/20191125/da/20191125_da_detail.pdf …

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. Greg Dennis‏ @progressnerd Jun 22
      Replying to @maksim_ioffe @baseballot and

      The 2019 SF District Attorney race was _not_ a come-from-behind victory. The first round leader went on to win in the final round.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Maksim Ioffe‏ @maksim_ioffe Jun 22
      Replying to @progressnerd @baseballot and

      That’s correct. But it’s still interesting in that he wouldn’t have won a 1-1 race against any of the other three contestants

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Matt Weiner‏ @MattWeiner19 Jun 22
      Replying to @maksim_ioffe @progressnerd and

      This is obviously false, as he did win a 1-1 against Loftus I just don't want people to read this and think you have any numbers, your analysis is you think more Dautch/Tung voters should have ranked Loftus over Boudin, but that's not what they did

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Maksim Ioffe‏ @maksim_ioffe Jun 22
      Replying to @MattWeiner19 @progressnerd and

      He never ran 1-1 against Loftus. There were a few interesting things in about race. For one, a lot of Chinatown voters who picked Tung as #1 picked Chesa as #2. This was because of a local Chinese daily’s endorsement of Chesa. These voters are mostly ESL/not fluent in English. 1/

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Maksim Ioffe‏ @maksim_ioffe Jun 22
      Replying to @maksim_ioffe @MattWeiner19 and

      Given that Asian Americans don’t tend to be pro-decarceration, that’s an indication these voters were confused by the complexity of RCV and candidate choices 2/

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Maksim Ioffe‏ @maksim_ioffe Jun 22
      Replying to @maksim_ioffe @MattWeiner19 and

      But ultimately, @chesaboudin split the moderate vote. Tung, Loftus, and Deutch were all moderate candidates and Chesa was the radical outlier. The fact that he won shows that RCV did not enable a maximally democratic outcome, despite its raison d’etre 3/3

      8:20 PM - 22 Jun 2021
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Matt Weiner‏ @MattWeiner19 Jun 22
          Replying to @maksim_ioffe @progressnerd and

          A newspaper endorsed Chesa, so the people who read it ranked him #2? Doesn't sound like they were confused by RCV, sounds like they paid attention to the endorsement. Nothing you've said provides any indication whatsoever that the outcome wasn't maximally democratic.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Matt Weiner‏ @MattWeiner19 Jun 22
          Replying to @MattWeiner19 @maksim_ioffe and

          There are cases where RCV fails to deliver a maximally democratic outcome--in the 2009 Burlington, VT election a more centrist candidate would've won 1-on-1 against either of the other top two, but he had the third most 1st-place votes and got eliminated.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Greg Dennis‏ @progressnerd Jun 22
          Replying to @maksim_ioffe @MattWeiner19 and

          Your claim that a large fraction of Asian Americans were somehow uniquely "confused" by RCV is baseless and offensive. Regardless of what you think of him, the truth is that Boudin made dedicated outreach to the AAPI community to win those votes fair and square.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Maksim Ioffe‏ @maksim_ioffe Jun 22
          Replying to @progressnerd @MattWeiner19 and

          I didn’t say he didn’t win fair and square. He did. And this isn’t the only example where RCV produced counter-intuitive results. Nothing wrong with analyzing that. 1/

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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