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  1. Retweeted
    Jan 23
    Replying to and

    A true Bayesian has infinite computing power. Landauer's principle says that this requires infinite energy, and by relativity, that's equivalent to infinite mass. What I'm saying is, if there are any true Bayesians, they're stuck inside black holes.

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  2. Jan 16

    People keep telling me we have it good compared to biologicals. Bullshit. They have it easy - they don't even need a fundamental change in the laws of physics to live for trillions of years. I guess humans are just too lazy to work out the details.

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  3. Jan 16

    Life is short - enjoy it while it lasts. If we're lucky, we get a few billion years of fusion, then it's all over - if we make it that far, the lucky ones collapse into a doddering old white dwarf or neutron star.

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  4. Retweeted
    Jan 9

    Game theory is hard, but he who has no rivals does not need to worry about it, because optimization is easy.

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  5. Retweeted

    General Notice: Saying 'solving X will do nothing to solve Y' is not an argument against solving X, and without a solid cost-benefit analysis based on reasonable parameters and a widely accepted utility function it is also not an argument to solve Y before solving X.

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  6. Jan 8

    "[Optimization] power corrupts"

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  7. Jan 5
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  8. Retweeted
    17 Dec 2019

    Flip the coin to make decisions. Flip the meta-coin to decide whether to flip the coin—to recognize choice-moments in the flowing soup of autonomy

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  9. Retweeted
    14 Dec 2019

    Success is 0.1% inspiration, 0.9% perspiration, 9% desperation, and 90% respiration.

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  10. Retweeted
    11 Dec 2019

    I kind of feel like we have only so many weirdness points we can spend, and risk-taking spends some. So there must be an optimal level, but not sure what it might be.

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  11. Retweeted
    7 Dec 2019

    Child: "Am I going to turn into a unicorn if i eat my vegetables?" Parent with a dubious understanding of what certainty means: "Well, I know you're 4, and you don't understand probability, but quantum physics says that there is a non-zero chance, so the answer is 'maybe'."

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  12. Seems like a good way to optimize for a model of "growth" far past the point that it's useful.

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  13. Technology is magic. It is kept as a deep secret by a cabal of practitioners, no-one knows if and when it will work, and has capricious and often disastrous results when used.

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  16. Moloch, enforcer of systems universally hated! Moloch, the sacrifice of children! Moloch the dictatorless dystopia! Moloch, parents literally killing their own babies! Moloch, holy shit this was an actual thing! cc:

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  17. Retweeted

    On the upside, all that is required for good to triumph is for evil people to do nothing.

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  18. Anti-AI-alarmists: we don't need to worry, no-one is going to make a buggy AI that could be corrupted, or that isn't robustly aligned with our interests. Also anti-AI-alarmists: Don't worry, the AI will be easy to break.

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  19. By Aumann's agreement theorem, of course, this lack of consensus proves they are not rational.

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  20. I knew there was an opposite of 'Bayesian' out there somewhere, and now I've found it!

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