Good article. I'd also add that the TRUE CFR won't really be known till far later, a year or more, when sero-epidemiological studies can be done to see for sure how many cases went undetected. It might cause no symptoms at all, ever, in certain people, for whatever reason.
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I mention serosurveys in the article explicitly.
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Thank you for this exceptionally clear explanation of these different ways of quantifying the "deadliness" of diseases including
#nCoV2019. I've added it to my updates on this outbreak:https://telliamedrevisited.wordpress.com/2020/01/30/updates-on-the-wuhan-corona-virus-ncov2019/ … - Još 1 odgovor
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I would expect Chinese culture of smoking (50%+ of male population) to be a strong contributing factor of why most of the deaths of nCoV2019 are older males.
- Još 1 odgovor
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Thank you, appreciate the clear discussion and clarification of the terminology. Are any immune repertoire sequence data available yet? Should be helpful in elucidating immune responses and perhaps development of a synthetic hyperimmune globulin
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Could you include some real-world charts of the "naive" CFR (deaths / cases) like below for Ebola & SARS? Even authors of peer-reviewed papers don't seem to all grasp that the naive CFR is expected to increase between the beginning and the end of a deadly outbreak.pic.twitter.com/dD0ByXY5o0
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Just a curiosity question - is there a query available for a month to month comparison for death by pneumonia from Dec 2018 - December 2019 in Wuhan? I would expect a dramatic increase.
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Thank you for this.
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