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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Robin Wigglesworth‏Verified account @RobinWigg Feb 4

      Great article by @EricGPlatt and @JARennison examining how atrophying liquidity has exacerbated the violence of many recent moves. https://www.ft.com/content/e4e33332-544b-4633-8b3b-a9594837baf1 …pic.twitter.com/q4WaZZsweU

      3 replies 8 retweets 14 likes
    2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod Feb 4
      Replying to @RobinWigg @EricGPlatt @JARennison

      Couldn’t this be the other way round? In volatile markets liquidity providers are less willing to quote tight spreads, and offer less size when they do. Their P&L when adversely selected is proportional to vol and size so this makes sense.

      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
    3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod Feb 4
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @RobinWigg and

      The reciprocal of the “depth” line is basically a chart of volatility.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Robin Wigglesworth‏Verified account @RobinWigg Feb 4
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @EricGPlatt @JARennison

      Of for sure, it's a bit of a chicken-egg situation. Clearly when vol spikes MMs widen spreads and cut order sizes. But then that makes the vol more pronounced, is the argument here.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Alex Gerko‏ @AlexanderGerko Feb 4
      Replying to @RobinWigg @macrocephalopod and

      Volatility is driven by macro factors, depth is driven by short term adverse selection. The former causes the latter.

      1 reply 2 retweets 11 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod Feb 4
      Replying to @AlexanderGerko @RobinWigg and

      Right - the way I think of it is there is a "cost" to providing liquidity (driven by macro/fundamental uncertainty) and there is a "price" that MMs charge to supply it (depth/spread) so when the cost increases, the price has to increase too.

      1:36 AM - 4 Feb 2022
      • 7 Likes
      • Andy Scott Brown rpc Robert Martin galleon group summer analyst Saang Lee (이상선)
      3 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Saang Lee (이상선)‏ @saanglee Feb 4
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @AlexanderGerko and

          Tbf from my short experience, a lot of times liquidity is available, but not shown on book. Like ES order book during Asian hours may look super thin (and may be for market orders), but plenty of tight spreads quoted when using RFQ. Though RFQ spreads during Mar20 were 🤮 too

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. David Belle‏ @davidbelle_ Feb 4
          Replying to @saanglee @macrocephalopod and

          surely if you're doing say a YoY or MoM comparison though it's going to be more proportional, even if not lit?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. JB‏ @be20684347 Feb 4
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @AlexanderGerko and

          Also measuring in ticks is a bit misleading. The future is substantially higher than march 2020 with the same tick size.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Scott Brown‏ @leakyalpha Feb 4
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @AlexanderGerko and

          And what of profit margin? I presume this fits with the overall notion that volatility drives profitability for MM because profit margin stays roughly in tact while volume increases dramatically?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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