im going to spill some #realtalk on FI and MBS investing here in a sec. its going to be a little wonky and different than the stuff i usually do but maybe you will like it or maybe you wont. the aim is to demystify this opaque market and show how its really not that sophisticated
maybe I’m being dumb but aren’t you actually short an option here? as in, if yields go down price goes up but not as much as an equivalent bond with no prepay would (so you have negative convexity)?
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the convexity is synthetic because the cashflow you bought at a discount gets called early. so you buy a 10y zero that ends up being a 2y zero. its more call-spread than call but its still convex
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it’s FI so its dumb bc the underlying is a curve not a scalar and the effect is synthetic but your 10 becomes a 2 and you can still reinvest in a new 10 so its not short the option because you regain the option by getting the cashflow early. they’re reinvestment risk instruments
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