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@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod Jan 3

    macrocephalopod Retweeted Matthew C. Klein

    I read a study a few years back which tried to quantify the different factors affecting asset raising for hedge funds (eg performance, conference appearances, white papers) and by far the strongest factor was past 24mo returns.https://twitter.com/M_C_Klein/status/1478081381360017411 …

    macrocephalopod added,

    Matthew C. KleinVerified account @M_C_Klein
    "In practice, this means both that institutional investors tend to hire managers who have performed well over the prior two years and that the hired managers then tend to underperform the fired managers" https://mailchi.mp/verdadcap/picking-funds-indices?e=6a3b6a5c9b …
    11:54 AM - 3 Jan 2022
    • 2 Retweets
    • 77 Likes
    • Ege Erdil Allison Green² janchkin Viridian Hawk 🌻 FedwardHyde . Wes Gray 🇺🇸 AirMarx - tommarx.eth Daniel Dart
    7 replies 2 retweets 77 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. π* | totlsota | ¤‏ @totlsota Jan 3
        Replying to @macrocephalopod

        Top performers: regression to the mean or autocorrelation - that is the question. (Sadly picking the losers doesn't result in winning, so asymmetric else it'd be a simple job.)

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Yannick Kälber‏ @YannickKae Jan 3
        Replying to @totlsota @macrocephalopod

        For U.S. equity mutual funds, I found this by @FactorResearch, which is not observed for hedge funds though?pic.twitter.com/pTlY5IB4Wp

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. ε Faryan Amir-Ghassemi ε‏ @FaryanAM Jan 3
        Replying to @macrocephalopod

        Studies also pointing to fund flows begetting temporary future alphas (Ahoniemi & Jylha).

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Saang Lee (이상선)‏ @saanglee Jan 3
        Replying to @macrocephalopod

        So you're saying... Most analysts at pension funds and other allocators could sufficiently be replaced by an intern who can sort by returns on Morningstar? @Nd172557208 😆pic.twitter.com/PB2dtUFStB

        4 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
      3. elPythonQuantador‏ @ThePythonQuant Jan 3
        Replying to @saanglee @macrocephalopod @Nd172557208

        No sir, the allocators get paid for sorting on 2y returns, not 3 yr! Big diff and worth their weight in gold!

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. Show replies
      1.  🕹 ⁉️‏ @volpompilano Jan 3
        Replying to @macrocephalopod

        Higher AUM leads to underperformance?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Richard A. Bottomfeeder, CFA‏ @StocksBottom Jan 3
        Replying to @goodalexander @macrocephalopod

        Just like mortgage brokers in 2007-2008 right?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. prg‏ @hut_three Jan 3
        Replying to @macrocephalopod

        At that horizon, what little performance persistence there is tends to be clustered around the worst performing quantile (largely due to fees). But from the perspective of the individual allocator career risk trumps investment logic.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. quantanamera‏ @ej271 Jan 3
        Replying to @macrocephalopod

        do you happen to remember where you read this study?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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