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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Matt Hollerbach‏ @breakingthemark 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @therobotjames @0xTurdleTrader

      The additional return found when rebalancing. In the crypto example, why did the monthly rebalanced portfolio return more than the untouched portfolio? That difference is a premium. And why did the daily rebalanced portfolio return more, than the monthly rebalanced portfolio?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    2. Robot James  🤖 🏖‏ @therobotjames 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @breakingthemark @0xTurdleTrader

      That's backwards to how I would think about it. There is a penalty to letting the market dictate your risk exposures for you. Keeping them in line is just basic table stakes trading - not a premium.

      2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
    3. Robot James  🤖 🏖‏ @therobotjames 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @therobotjames @breakingthemark @0xTurdleTrader

      Robot James  🤖 🏖 Retweeted macrocephalopod

      This:https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1461456582022209541?s=21 …

      Robot James  🤖 🏖 added,

      macrocephalopod @macrocephalopod
      the alpha of the portfolio decays and the risk exposures creep up, and the job of the portfolio manager is to keep making trades that increase the alpha, decrease the unwanted risk exposures, and don’t cost too much. Simple really.
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    4. Matt Hollerbach‏ @breakingthemark 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @therobotjames @0xTurdleTrader

      Right so there is a natural path you would expect with no action. So the rebalance premium is return above what the natural return would be.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @breakingthemark @therobotjames @0xTurdleTrader

      Yeah robot has this right imo. Rebalancing is table stakes, that should be your benchmark (and in many professionally managed portfolios it literally is). Not rebalancing back to target weights is negative alpha.

      3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
    6. Matt Hollerbach‏ @breakingthemark 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @0xTurdleTrader

      At what rebalancing frequency are the the table stakes set at?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @breakingthemark @therobotjames @0xTurdleTrader

      Depends on how rapidly the target weights change and how volatile the assets traded are. As a general rule, evaluate deviation from target wts at least once/day and rebalance if the deviation is large enough (after taking tcosts into account)

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    8. Robot James  🤖 🏖‏ @therobotjames 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @breakingthemark @0xTurdleTrader

      👍 The effect is not to do with the frequency of trading, explicitly. It's caused by the discrepancy between the weights you want and the weights you have. Which, as macro states, is a function of the volatility/auto-correlation of your alpha and the assets themselves.

      3 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    9. EntropyChase‏ @EntropyChase 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @therobotjames @macrocephalopod and

      still curious bout one thing can we expect to make money if we long a port that is rebalanced as optimally as possible and short the unbalanced one? if so what are we betting on, that the assets continue to be similarly uncorr&highvol, and transaction costs will stay cheap

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Robot James  🤖 🏖‏ @therobotjames 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @EntropyChase @macrocephalopod and

      In a theoretical, frictionless world, probably. In reality, I think you'd bump into a lot of constraints trying to do that. Good trades used to exist like this - shorting inverse/leveraged ETFs for example. Harder now cos borrowing market smarter.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 14 Dec 2021
      Replying to @therobotjames @EntropyChase and

      One way to think about this portfolio is ++ short term reversion, - size factor, - trading costs, so if you think that combination is likely to outperform then sure, have at it

      3:52 PM - 14 Dec 2021
      • 7 Likes
      • Walter Lionel Lightcycle Rey Sosa Turdle (is hiring) Robot James 🤖🏖 EntropyChase
      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        1. EntropyChase‏ @EntropyChase 14 Dec 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @therobotjames and

          hm isnt size factor the idea that smaller market cap stuff is riskier and should earn higher returns? the rebalanced port leans more toward the small market cap stuff than the unbalanced port, so id think we are long the size factor

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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