10/10 would trade
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include a significant fudge factor in your model and market to degenerates who are going to pay a hefty premium in funding
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If these things actually have volume, they'd be an absolute dream to trade for parasitic traders like me

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Sir assisting with price discovery in a new asset is far from parasitic
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Sounds about right.
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This one is also pretty good.https://www.paradigm.xyz/2021/05/everlasting-options/ …
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the replicating portfolio of expiring ETH^2 is i think proportional to long 1 1-strike call, long 1 2-strike call, long 1 3-strike call, etc. (but scaled down and also continuous) is that what a var swap is?
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Variance swap replicating portfolio is a portfolio of long puts/calls with equal spaced strikes, where you have a position proportional to 1/K^2 in the option with strike K, plus a delta hedge.
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how come? a variance swap payoff is (rv^ 2 - K), with rv accruing over the life of the trade. this payoff is (S_T^2 - K), only terminal spot matters (at least from what I glean)
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that’s correct, it’s exposure to a geometric series of moments https://llllvvuu.dev/blog/raw-moments … and indeed you can isolate nth central moment by just maintaining the binomial coefficients the pro and con is that you don’t trade the calendar
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