Been thinking about "easy mode" games a bit. In some competitive fields there is a period before many have figured out how to play, where people even doing really basic analysis can win big with little effort.
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Nate Silver was able to build a reputation as a genius election forecaster by doing relatively simple analysis that most people weren't doing. He was playing on "easy mode". Now that kind of analysis is table stakes.
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There was an interview with @mgnr_io on @choffstein's podcast where he talked about playing an Australian lottery where the numbers weren't random, but were based on soccer matches. If you looked up the odds beforehand you could play the lottery on "easy mode" with a big edge.
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Playing on easy mode isn't a bad thing! If you're trading, you want to find as many easy mode games as possible, because that's much simpler and more profitable than trying to get an edge in a very competitive game.
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Lots of people who were trading prop crypto from 2018 to May/June this year were playing on easy mode. Something changed recently and it's now competitive - a fact which a lot of people currently plowing money and effort into crypto trading systems are about to find out.
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Episode + link to
@mgnr_io’s article on the topic here
https://blog.thinknewfound.com/podcast/s4e14-bryn-solomon/ …)Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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sir we’re honored to be on your radar let’s have a beer sometime I’ll reveal to you the easy mode for 2 US scratch lottery ticket games (currently in circulation)
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I would bring the beer if you don't mind
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