The Olympic medal table if the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, Belgium, Ireland and Portugal (total population about the same as USA, 25% of China) competed as one country.pic.twitter.com/x8BD9ope6D
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In a heat with 2 competitors from each country, your Europe team has 20 competitors and the US has two. This makes no sense.
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But "Europe" gets more rolls of the dice
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This is my point, if we accept all qualifiers are of equal ability, the Europe team gets proportionally more chances at placing with a medal.
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