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There has been a rise in cases but (a) hospitalisations and deaths are way lower than last time (b) it’s pretty clear that our spike is higher than eg the US because we are testing more, and…
(c) based on today’s data, and the fact that schools are on holiday I feel ~90% confident in calling it — the number of new cases has peaked and it’s going to keep declining at least until early Sep.
I wouldn't feel as confident as that - there may be a burst related to clubs opening, but broadly agree that I've been surprised at the levels of opposition to the strategy generally
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