I exited all of my PA crypto positions over the last week so I thought it might be interesting to look back over the last three months, what worked, what didn't, and what surprised me.
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I had a few constraints - I wanted to make reasonably consistent profits, I didn't want big drawdowns (2-3% max) and I didn't want to spend more than 10-15 minutes a day trading. The obvious thing was to do cash/futures arbitrage.
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There are tons of tweets about it, but briefly the idea is to go long physical BTC and short futures against it, to capture the premium of futures over spot without taking delta exposure. I was late to it, but when I started in Apr the basis was ~30%/year and it hit 40%+ at peak.pic.twitter.com/lrmLHPM8fV
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Registering for exchanges was easy. Transferring in fiat took a couple more days but was also pretty simple. First lesson was that the default "buy crypto" link on a lot of exchanges rips you off on both exchange rate and commission. Go to the order book instead!
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Next problem is getting into a hedged position. You need to buy spot/short futures, but you need spot crypto to collateralise your futures account before you can start trading futures, so legging risk is unavoidable. I entered a tiny position first, and then bootstrapped it.
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Once you have a position on it's much easier to add to it, because you can do a near simultaneous spot/futures trade and temporarily run a leveraged futures position (e.g. 50% collateralized) while you wait for your spot to transfer to your futures wallet.
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I was paranoid about exchanges being hacked, so I had positions across six exchanges. The basis varies considerably across exchanges so I would have larger positions where the yield was higher. Generally Binance, FTX, Bybit, Huobi and FTX had the highest yields.
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Replying to @macrocephalopod
Are you US based? How did get access to FTX/Binance/other futures exchanges?
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