Wanna hear a counterintuitive but well known secret? Every asset trades at a price such that the expected return is the risk-free rate. If you don’t believe it, try to find someone that will offer you more than the risk free rate. You won’t. Hint: ask for a forward price
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I have a feeling he's sorry he tweeted it by now! :-)https://twitter.com/goldstein_aa/status/1397663323450118145 …
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I interpreted Mark as saying what you guys are saying... but in a casual provocative way.

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Ok. We are willing to exchange one asset for another only when they are of equivalent value (otherwise we wouldn’t do it). That means that we expect the same [risk adjusted] return - ie on average we expect the same return from either asset. Cont.
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We obviously have ‘views’ or ‘expectations’ when we do the trade. But those are unique to us. The other side has different views. And both meet when both assets exchanged have the same expected return. And that is the rfr because you can always express the trade in cash value
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