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This is the pure expectations hypothesis, and it is very not true!
“A long spot/short forward portfolio earns the risk free rate” is true, but very different from “a long spot position earns the risk free rate”.
I mean, even “a long spot/short forward portfolio earns the risk free rate” is not true, the proof is the continued existence of fixed income cash and carry trades (or crypto cash and carry if you want to be spicy)
Yes. Completely agree with that. I didn’t say the latter, though.
Sure sounded like you said the latter!
exactly, this is an observation about the price of a forward (cost of $) not the price of the underlying (cost of asset).
[in which case its phrased wrong and the dunks are worthy]
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