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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
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@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Corey Hoffstein  🏴‍☠️‏Verified account @choffstein 7 May 2021

      Alright, I decided to try this crypto cash and carry thing. 🤞 Wish me luck.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gvv0mASkg3U …

      29 replies 16 retweets 240 likes
    2. Sergei Perfiliev  🇺🇦‏ @perfiliev 8 May 2021
      Replying to @choffstein

      Understandable why, but still interesting how the discussions centred mostly around operational risk (platform risk, margin calls, failed c/p), rather than market risk. Good luck with the trades and thanks for sharing!

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Corey Hoffstein  🏴‍☠️‏Verified account @choffstein 8 May 2021
      Replying to @perfiliev @SergeiPerfiliev

      Well, in theory the trade is delta neutral. Market risk leads to the operational risks, though (eg counter party)

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. breakeven‏ @std_dev 9 May 2021
      Replying to @choffstein @SergeiPerfiliev

      unlikely, but possible that basis blows out to a multiple of the price of BTC eg, buy BTC 50K, sell forward 55K BTC unch and forward goes to 150K i'm not sure what exchange does in that case as they are on the hook for more than your margin.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 9 May 2021
      Replying to @std_dev @choffstein @SergeiPerfiliev

      They would close out your futures short somewhere between 100k and 105k. This is the risk to be least worried about though since if the basis blew out that wide it would represent an insanely compelling arb opportunity and someone would step in to close the gap.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. breakeven‏ @std_dev 9 May 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @choffstein @SergeiPerfiliev

      agree but the reason it goes there is because funding has disappeared for some reason.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 9 May 2021
      Replying to @std_dev @choffstein @SergeiPerfiliev

      Mar 2020 in treasury futures basis markets is the closest comparison I can think of.

      4:31 PM - 9 May 2021
      • 3 Likes
      • Sergei Perfiliev 🇺🇦 breakeven Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. Sergei Perfiliev  🇺🇦‏ @perfiliev 10 May 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @std_dev @choffstein

          Interesting indeed. I guess this risk is also one of the reasons the spread/arb opportunity exists at the moment, in addition to all the others @choffstein discussed in the video.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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