Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

Tweets

macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

Tweets

  • © 2022 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021

      As an illustration assume a $100 portfolio which is levered 5:1 so has $500 of stock and $400 of debt. If the stock rises 20% you now have $600 of stock, $400 of debt and portfolio value of $200. So you have a 100% return (= 5 x 20%) but you are now only levered 3:1

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021

      To maintain leverage you need to buy another $400 of stock using a loan, giving a portfolio of $1000 stock and $800 of debt. If the stock rises 20% again (gains of $200) you need to buy another $800 of stock, and if it rises 20% a third time you need to buy another $1600.

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021

      After three 20% rises you have increased your portfolio size from $500 to $4000 -- an increase of $3500, of which $700 was investment gains and $2800 was new purchases.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      Show this thread
    4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021

      Now if the stock falls 20%, your portfolio falls to $3200 (loss of $800) but it completely wipes out your equity. You need to sell the remaining $3200 of stock because you can no longer meet margin calls.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      Show this thread
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021

      On the round trip the stock was up 38.2%, you bought $3300 of stock, sold $3200, and lost your initial account balance of $100. Leverage!

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    6. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021

      The *right* way to read the FT/Bespoke chart is that there was a loss of about $22 billion (not totally accurate, but ballpark if you think Archegos lost $15 billion and banks lost $7 billion) and around $88 billion of stock sold (not far off the $85 billion estimates)

      2 replies 0 retweets 21 likes
      Show this thread
    7. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021

      Any mocking should be reserved for @Fxhedgers and anyone who uncritically retweeted their 'story'. Fin!

      1 reply 1 retweet 22 likes
      Show this thread
    8. This Tweet is unavailable.
    9. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021
      Replying to @LadyFOHF @Fxhedgers

      The original chart from Bespoke had more footnotes than the version that appeared in the FT. I’m kind of sympathetic to @RobinWigg for thinking they weren’t necessary but yeah this does seem to have been an overestimate of the average readers intelligence!

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 6 Apr 2021
      Replying to @LadyFOHF @Fxhedgers @RobinWigg

      Don’t disagree!

      5:56 AM - 6 Apr 2021
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2022 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info