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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      We’re going to hear a lot about equity total return swaps over the next couple of days but let me take a second to point out how extremely normal they are and how unsurprising it should be to find out that Archegos was using them.

      11 replies 63 retweets 385 likes
      Show this thread
    2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      Some people have a mental model for leveraged longs which is like, you negotiate with your broker to lend you cash, when the cash hits your account you go out an buy stocks with it so you now have eg a 3x long stock position and a -2x loan.

      1 reply 0 retweets 33 likes
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    3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      If you are more sophisticated you may imagine this happens in a margin account where the whole thing is streamlined and the loan settlement and stock purchase happen at the same time, but it’s still basically a long stock position plus a loan.

      1 reply 0 retweets 34 likes
      Show this thread
    4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      For institutions, most of the time it doesn’t work like this. You will just have a total return swap on the stock, where the bank pays you dividends + price appreciation on one leg and you pay financing + swap fee on the other leg.

      1 reply 0 retweets 60 likes
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    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      Same thing happens with shorts — you won’t actually borrow the stock yourself and go out and sell it, you’ll have a TRS where you pay divs and price appreciation on one leg, and on the other leg you receive the risk free rate and pay borrow cost + swap fee.

      1 reply 0 retweets 43 likes
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    6. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      All the same constraints apply (eg you can’t short a stock of there’s no borrow) it’s just that all the mechanics happens on the dealer side which is much more straightforward for you, the hedge fund.

      1 reply 0 retweets 36 likes
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    7. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      The controversial things about Archegos seem to be (a) they may have been deliberately using TRS to avoid disclosure and (b) they were extremely levered (5-6x) and the short side was like ES or NQ futures which were not a particularly good hedge for their long book.

      4 replies 5 retweets 108 likes
      Show this thread
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

      But the use of TRS in and of itself should not be controversial, it is pretty normal and boring. If they are adequately collateralised they can be perfectly safe (this does not seem to have been the case with Archegos!)

      12:11 AM - 29 Mar 2021
      • 99 Likes
      • Jay Parlane Gus Fring Conor L. Myhrvold 🐘 K O M.Feeney TeD Devon Cherouvis Finextract InsaneNarrative
      5 replies 0 retweets 99 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

          macrocephalopod Retweeted Saang Lee (이상선)

          Here are some actual good takes on TRS from people who actually understand them (unlike me)https://twitter.com/saanglee/status/1376522517259513857?s=20 …

          macrocephalopod added,

          Saang Lee (이상선) @saanglee
          (1/11) There seem to be a ton of tweets going around regarding total return swaps (many good; some not so much). Here's my perspective from someone who has used TRS countless times over the years with several counterparties globally. A TRS is quite simple: An institution...
          Show this thread
          1 reply 2 retweets 26 likes
          Show this thread
        3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

          macrocephalopod Retweeted QuantPM

          https://twitter.com/PmQuant/status/1376492623230337035?s=20 …

          macrocephalopod added,

          QuantPM @PmQuant
          Very nice thread on what is a TRS re. Archegos fallout. Let me add a few additional points. Whether you structure that as a forward, TRS, or some other variation the goal is the same - provide long or short leveraged (unfunded) exposure to a certain asset. 1/n https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1376431761169788933 …
          Show this thread
          1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
          Show this thread
        4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

          macrocephalopod Retweeted NRI Inc

          Guillermo writes like he assumes everyone is as smart as he is so this one may be a bit wonky, but trust me it's goodhttps://twitter.com/NewRiverInvest/status/1376438692965883904?s=20 …

          macrocephalopod added,

          NRI Inc @NewRiverInvest
          Collateralized securities lending with callable-funds involves an implicit barrier option that the borrower sells to the lender struck at port-value == maint margin requirement. Likewise the borrower is often implicitly long a barrier and the lender short one at port value == 0
          Show this thread
          2 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        5. End of conversation
        1. PiQ ‏ @PriapusIQ 29 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod

          Great thread, thanks for putting it together. ✌️

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. NRI Inc‏ @NewRiverInvest 29 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod

          "well, yes, we lost 100% of our money but at least we don't have tax-line discrepancies that could leave us with mismatched gains and losses leading to a bonus tax liability"

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021

          Not sure but I expect there is an element of prisoner’s dilemma at play — “I like to think we have some pretty smart people here but it sure is a hell of a lot easier just being first.”

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. BB‏ @doggedtenacity 29 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod

          Worked on swaps desk out of school through financial crisis. Much more leverage used then obviously. There was drips and drabs of using them for disclosure, but mostly for tax purposes when not explicitly for leverage.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. pedantic uncertaintist duck‏ @mathtick 29 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod

          What is the point of reporting anything if you are saying effectively big boy cfds don't get reported? I keep asking folks about derivs and how we know finra and sec number mean anything. Never got a sense that they do anything but lower bound.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 29 Mar 2021
          Replying to @mathtick

          macrocephalopod Retweeted macrocephalopod

          Don’t disagree.https://twitter.com/macrocephalopod/status/1376486613929365507 …

          macrocephalopod added,

          macrocephalopod @macrocephalopod
          Replying to @ONAN_OUS
          I would simply convert all derivative positions into their single name delta equivalents and require them to be reported as if they were held physically.
          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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