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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Mitchell Rosenthal‏ @M1tchRosenthal 25 Mar 2021

      What do folks use to look at real interest rates in US? Should be US bond yield - inflation rate, but inflation numbers are quarterly. Would I do 10yr bond yield - 10yr TIPS yield? This may be a very dumb Q

      8 replies 0 retweets 16 likes
    2. Sid Prabhu‏ @sidprabhu 25 Mar 2021
      Replying to @M1tchRosenthal

      tips yield is the real interest rate

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    3. Mitchell Rosenthal‏ @M1tchRosenthal 25 Mar 2021
      Replying to @sidprabhu

      I thought TIPS yield is designed to exactly cancel out inflation. So it should equal inflation, but it does not tell us (yield - inflation), right?

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 25 Mar 2021
      Replying to @M1tchRosenthal @sidprabhu

      TIPS yield is already the real interest rate. Nominal yield minus TIPS yield is breakeven inflation.

      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 25 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @M1tchRosenthal @sidprabhu

      Though TIPS yield is corrupted with all kinds of shit, eg they are much less liquid than treasuries and tend to sell off in a crisis, which makes them a very bad measure of real yields. Best approach is probably to take nominal yield minus consensus inflation forecast...

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 25 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @M1tchRosenthal @sidprabhu

      ... which is available monthly (eg from Consensus Economics or Bloomberg) or even weekly if you don’t mind a bit of noise.

      2:33 PM - 25 Mar 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Mitchell Rosenthal
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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