Bayes’s theorem famously states that P(A|B) = P(A) for all B.
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If only there was some way to update your priors by, like, observing what they do and say over the course of the last thirty years or something?
No? Guess we’ll have to continue hoping 
https://twitter.com/juliagalef/status/1375157384562245633 …
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What is this update you speak of? Something either happens or it doesn't happen. The odds are always 50-50.
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