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This is amazing. The strategy here is to immediately sell half of the BTC received for anyone who pays in Bitcoin. If BTC goes up, refund them in USD, if Bitcoin goes down, refund in Bitcoin. Tesla makes money regardless of the outcome.https://twitter.com/TBPInvictus/status/1375088089002094595 …
e.g. you receive 1 BTC worth $50k. Sell half so you have 0.5 BTC + $25k. If BTC goes to $100k you refund the $50k, left with 0.5 BTC and -$25k cash, profit $25k If BTC goes to $25k you refund 1 BTC, left with $25k cash and -0.5 BTC, profit $12.5k
This is an application of put-call parity btw. Immediately selling half of the BTC you received converts half of your implicit BTC call into a BTC put, so you now have a BTC straddle, which is guaranteed to profit in every outcome - optionality without price exposure.
Tesla have committed not to sell any of the Bitcoin that they receive for selling cars, but there is nothing to stop them from selling some of the $1.5 billion of BTC that they bought earlier this year 
If new Teslas were a security this would definitely be illegal, but they aren't so 
Thanks! I posted a question about the refund policy yesterday re: BTC vs USD and arb. Much appreciated.
going long BTC vol for free, @elonmusk you are playing 4d chess here man well done
Woah... this introduces some super weird incentives....
Anyone who can collect 100s of millions of $ in interest-free loans from prospective customers is evidently pretty good at... incentives.
What awesome customer service, I see why so many people love this company!
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