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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 21 Mar 2021

      macrocephalopod Retweeted The Moron That Went Short Yet Again.

      This is a good question! Some possible answers - 1. Infrastructure that is too expensive or too hard to build yourself (eg colocation, low latency data feeds, compute clusters, fpgas) 2. Data that is too expensive or simply impossible to buy (eg historical tick data)https://twitter.com/mobile_mm/status/1373427747901542402 …

      macrocephalopod added,

      The Moron That Went Short Yet Again. @mobile_mm
      Replying to @nope_its_lily
      I have a different question - if you have a "quant" strategy or system that has a positive expectancy why would you trade it with other peoples money? Why give anyone else a cut? Eventually you will become very rich trading your own account. I dont get this.
      7 replies 12 retweets 128 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Veronica Humble‏ @veronica_humble 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod

      8. All these strategies work until they don't. I suspect the shelf life was getting shorter over the last 20 years. So connected to 4, 1 + R&D costs

      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
    3. Veronica Humble‏ @veronica_humble 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @veronica_humble @macrocephalopod

      And downtime costs

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    4. keyser soze‏ @KeyserSozeBro1 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @veronica_humble @macrocephalopod

      Great point. I’d also argue that most institutional hedge fund LPs are compulsive to gather non-correlated strategies managers (quants) until the jackpot hits. Then they leave. To some extent, all top quant managers experience this after their outlier year of huge + returns.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. keyser soze‏ @KeyserSozeBro1 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @KeyserSozeBro1 @veronica_humble @macrocephalopod

      Strategies work until they don’t, until it gets arbed out, until the strategy gets flooded with capital, etc. But the best quant managers will find the next big opps - always. Never ever redeem from a top quant fund. You’ll never get back in again & you’ll regret it.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Veronica Humble‏ @veronica_humble 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @KeyserSozeBro1 @macrocephalopod

      Unless of course top quant funds have issues of their own. And I'm not sure about "always" :) but yes, gathering uncorrelated strategies makes sense, as well as assuming a short longevity for the working ones

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. keyser soze‏ @KeyserSozeBro1 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @veronica_humble @macrocephalopod

      1 trick ponies are self evident. They present that way, they present as narrow specialists & there’s no mystery for the LPs that they’re done when the strategy sunsets, e.g. merger arb in late 90s, convert arb in early 2000s. I consider elite vol generalists to be evergreen.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @KeyserSozeBro1 @veronica_humble

      I agree with this except I would say “big multi strats” instead of “big quant funds”. If you are doing equity l/s, fixed income rv, vol arb, convert arb etc as well as quant you have a much more diversified revenue stream and better opportunities to pivot when one stops working.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 21 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @KeyserSozeBro1 @veronica_humble

      To first approximation there are only two funds doing this at the top level (citadel and millennium) and half a dozen below that (eg Point72, balyasny)

      6:52 AM - 21 Mar 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • Veronica Humble
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. keyser soze‏ @KeyserSozeBro1 21 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @veronica_humble

          Ok. It’s a nice Sunday morning & I’m not going off on the stupidity of the bigger is best multi strat fund. No. You’ve done that for us, thank you. It is Citidel. That’s it. Millennium is a loose confederation of independent contractors as bookrunners. That’s not the same thing.

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. keyser soze‏ @KeyserSozeBro1 21 Mar 2021
          Replying to @KeyserSozeBro1 @macrocephalopod @veronica_humble

          That’s not to say I’m critical of Izzy’s strategy. I think it is brilliant. The highest returns are inside prop arcades & other firms that won’t take LP capital. Millennium’s model brought that to the institutional investors who were shut out from all of that & executed it well.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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