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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
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@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @breakingthemark @goldstein_aa @zzzrrrzzz12

      I see, so you will increase leverage to get the desired volatility, and then decrease leverage to get the desired returns?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Matt Hollerbach‏ @breakingthemark 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @goldstein_aa @zzzrrrzzz12

      why would you decrease leverage to get the desired returns?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @breakingthemark @goldstein_aa @zzzrrrzzz12

      The whole point of “volatility pumping” is that an asset with zero geometric return can be made to have positive geometric return if you reduce the leverage. My claim is that you can’t find assets with high enough volatility for that to be interesting in practice.

      2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
    4. Matt Hollerbach‏ @breakingthemark 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @goldstein_aa @zzzrrrzzz12

      That is a very simplistic view of what vol pumping is. Vol pumping isn't abut an asset with zero geo return, its just the most eye catching type. There are plenty of articles on vol pumping where cash isn't involved, and the "pumping" is just between a bunch of risky assets.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @breakingthemark @goldstein_aa @zzzrrrzzz12

      This is exactly the same as saying that by diversifying you can reduce the volatility drag of a portfolio of assets, right? ie “diversification is the only free lunch in investing”.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Matt Hollerbach‏ @breakingthemark 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @goldstein_aa @zzzrrrzzz12

      No it's not. The most diversified portfolio it not the right portfolio to rebalance back to capture the full effect. Typically the most diversified portfolio should be held and not rebalanced freqently to increase returns.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. Robot James  🤖 🏖‏ @therobotjames 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @breakingthemark @macrocephalopod and

      Yeah I agree. The "equivalent" thing would be the premium you tend to get from rebalancing assets with certain cross-sectional time-series properties - not the diversification (correlation) effect itself, I think.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @therobotjames @breakingthemark and

      Can you point me to somewhere that explains it in more detail? I feel like I have a pretty good mental model for these things, and (in a theoretical world with two assets with equal risk) it is obvious to me that frequent rebalancing to equal weight is optimal.

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    9. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @therobotjames and

      Hence if you tell me any *other* strategy is optimal, I think you’re making a claim about the real-world properties of the assets.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    10. Ilari Lehti‏ @IlariLehti 17 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @therobotjames and

      Shannon's Demon is just diversification at work, an extreme example of diversification. So if you allow me to make assumptions of real-world properties of this phenomenon, above you mentioned 100% volatile bitcoin-like asset. With 23% allocation, together with stocks:pic.twitter.com/n8yo4GuQ3k

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 17 Mar 2021
      Replying to @IlariLehti @therobotjames and

      I believe you know what you’re doing and your calculations look right — I just don’t know what point you’re making?

      1:55 PM - 17 Mar 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Robot James 🤖🏖
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Rip‏ @zzzrrrzzz12 17 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @IlariLehti and

          This thread is absolutely bonkers

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        2. Ilari Lehti‏ @IlariLehti 17 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @therobotjames and

          This is already a practical way to benefit from a zero geomean asset, assuming it is such. So we shouldn't label these things as purely theoretical.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 17 Mar 2021
          Replying to @IlariLehti @therobotjames and

          Are you putting 23% of your portfolio in bitcoin? 😁

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies

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