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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Lily.wav‏ @nope_its_lily 16 Mar 2021

      The great thing about data is we can make it tell whatever story we want it to.

      14 replies 7 retweets 127 likes
    2. ONAN‏ @ONAN_OUS 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @nope_its_lily

      pic.twitter.com/xhdCHuptLP

      1 reply 1 retweet 17 likes
    3. Lily.wav‏ @nope_its_lily 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @ONAN_OUS

      this is why I don't trust any ML

      3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @nope_its_lily @ONAN_OUS

      every time you fit a parameter in a backtest you are doing ML, just really slowly and inefficiently 🤔

      1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
    5. Corey Hoffstein  🏴‍☠️‏Verified account @choffstein 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily @ONAN_OUS

      You've clearly worked in marketing

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Mitchell Rosenthal‏ @M1tchRosenthal 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @choffstein @macrocephalopod and

      Do you disagree with Prado that much of ML is just modern statistics? Ie, like any other statistical tool like linear regression (which I think is ML as well), it's useful if you dont use it irresponsibly, right?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Corey Hoffstein  🏴‍☠️‏Verified account @choffstein 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @M1tchRosenthal @macrocephalopod and

      I'm not sure he owns that view. That's what most people have been saying for the last 5+ years

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    8. Mitchell Rosenthal‏ @M1tchRosenthal 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @choffstein @macrocephalopod and

      Good pt, just mentioned him bc that's who I heard that opinion from. Still curious whether you agree w him

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @M1tchRosenthal @choffstein and

      I strongly believe all of (a) ML is overhyped in finance (b) ML is useful in finance if you are careful about how/when you use it (c) Lopez de Prado has an ego bigger than the fucking Vatican and the world would be better off if he never wrote another paper.

      2 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
    10. Mitchell Rosenthal‏ @M1tchRosenthal 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @choffstein and

      haha I see, where do you get that from? Ive just found his texts on ML useful

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
      Replying to @M1tchRosenthal @choffstein and

      Almost everything he says is correct, but it’s also very widely known (and has been for years) and he tries to spin it as if he’s the first person who has ever thought that overfitting a backtest might be a bad idea and hey maybe we should do something about that.

      2:42 PM - 16 Mar 2021
      • 8 Likes
      • Robot James 🤖🏖 harmless.exe merge_asof AB ☯️ Khan Danail 🇧🇬 Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️ Nd1(🐊,🐊) Mitchell Rosenthal
      2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
        1. New conversation
        2.  ☯️ Khan Danail  🇧🇬‏ @MrBulgaria23 16 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @M1tchRosenthal and

          To paraphrase a prof of mine (former quant) speaking about ML "if it's in a book it's probably outdated already" Marcos like Taleb points out stuff that's obvious to og professionals but not to young people like @M1tchRosenthal and I, so we start of amazed then realize what's up

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Yannick Kälber‏ @YannickKae 16 Mar 2021
          Replying to @MrBulgaria23 @macrocephalopod and

          Totally true. In my case, I was also a big fan of Taleb, then during my math studies I quickly realized that he is actually Captain Obvious and just popularizes long known things under a new name.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Robot James  🤖 🏖‏ @therobotjames 16 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @M1tchRosenthal and

          Reminds me of this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9W1zTEuKLY … Mostly naming things people have done for years...

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 16 Mar 2021
          Replying to @therobotjames @M1tchRosenthal and

          pic.twitter.com/nai6c9wZYl

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. End of conversation

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