Shannon's original example used 50% vol for each period -- if we assume that a period is one day, the asset in his example would be 8x more volatile than Bitcoin (!)
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More volatility is easy to find. It just requires leverage.
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I see, so you will increase leverage to get the desired volatility, and then decrease leverage to get the desired returns?
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why would you decrease leverage to get the desired returns?
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The whole point of “volatility pumping” is that an asset with zero geometric return can be made to have positive geometric return if you reduce the leverage. My claim is that you can’t find assets with high enough volatility for that to be interesting in practice.
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That is a very simplistic view of what vol pumping is. Vol pumping isn't abut an asset with zero geo return, its just the most eye catching type. There are plenty of articles on vol pumping where cash isn't involved, and the "pumping" is just between a bunch of risky assets.
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This is exactly the same as saying that by diversifying you can reduce the volatility drag of a portfolio of assets, right? ie “diversification is the only free lunch in investing”.
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No it's not. The most diversified portfolio it not the right portfolio to rebalance back to capture the full effect. Typically the most diversified portfolio should be held and not rebalanced freqently to increase returns.
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Replying to @breakingthemark @macrocephalopod and
Yeah I agree. The "equivalent" thing would be the premium you tend to get from rebalancing assets with certain cross-sectional time-series properties - not the diversification (correlation) effect itself, I think.
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Replying to @therobotjames @breakingthemark and
Can you point me to somewhere that explains it in more detail? I feel like I have a pretty good mental model for these things, and (in a theoretical world with two assets with equal risk) it is obvious to me that frequent rebalancing to equal weight is optimal.
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Hence if you tell me any *other* strategy is optimal, I think you’re making a claim about the real-world properties of the assets.
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Replying to @macrocephalopod @therobotjames and
Shannon's Demon is just diversification at work, an extreme example of diversification. So if you allow me to make assumptions of real-world properties of this phenomenon, above you mentioned 100% volatile bitcoin-like asset. With 23% allocation, together with stocks:pic.twitter.com/n8yo4GuQ3k
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Replying to @IlariLehti @therobotjames and
I believe you know what you’re doing and your calculations look right — I just don’t know what point you’re making?
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